Ashishkumar Chauhan, MD & CEO, NSE, reaffirmed the enduring dominance of the US dollar at a recent panel discussion in Singapore. He provided deep insights into the evolving financial landscape, the rise of technology-driven capitalism, and the increasing complexities of global markets.
Chauhan redefined conventional perspectives on financial stability, asserting that volatility is not a weakness but an inherent feature of economic progress. He argued that market disruptions often result from geopolitical shifts rather than purely economic factors. “Geopolitics eats economics for breakfast,” he remarked, highlighting how international power struggles are reshaping financial markets in unpredictable ways.
On investor behaviour, Chauhan dispelled the notion that India’s stock market is driven primarily by speculative trading. “Out of 110 million market participants, only 2% actively trade in derivatives. The majority are committed to long-term investing,” he stated, reinforcing the growing culture of disciplined, sustainable investment in India.
One of the most striking themes of his address was the emergence of “Capitalism without capital.” Traditionally, wealth creation depended on large financial investments, but Chauhan pointed out that technological advancements are rewriting the rules. With AI, blockchain, and digital platforms allowing businesses to scale with minimal capital, the economic model is shifting away from traditional capital-intensive structures. He cited India’s booming startup ecosystem and the rise of micro-IPOs as proof that wealth creation is no longer restricted to large financial institutions.
Chauhan also highlighted the increasing threats posed by cyber warfare in financial markets. He revealed that stock exchanges are under relentless attack from cybercriminals, underscoring the importance of digital security in the financial sector. The rise of deepfake technology has further complicated this landscape, with fraudulent videos manipulating investor sentiment and threatening financial integrity. He stressed the need for regulators and institutions to stay ahead of these evolving threats to maintain trust in capital markets.
Regarding the future of global currencies, Chauhan stated that despite speculation about alternatives, the US dollar will continue its dominance. “After World War II, the US meticulously positioned the dollar as the world’s reserve currency, and no other country is currently equipped to take on that role,” he observed. While economic shifts may challenge US influence, the fundamental structure supporting the dollar remains intact, making it the default choice for global trade and investment.
Chauhan’s address painted a picture of a rapidly changing financial world where technology, cybersecurity, and geopolitical manoeuvring are redefining market dynamics. While uncertainty prevails, he emphasized that those who anticipate and adapt to these changes will be the ones shaping the future of global finance.