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- Published: December 7, 2022 17:37
New Delhi: The results for the Delhi MCD elections are out and Aam Aadmi Party won with 134 wards out of 250. While the exit polls predicted a much greater victory, the reality was different from it. Following a trend of not getting the numbers right. Axis My India is facing a backlash on social media for its exit poll for MCD elections.
Axis My India predicted that AAP will win 149-171 wards for AAP and BJP will get 69-91 wards. On the other hand, AAP won 134 seats and following a neck-to-neck competition, BJP won 104 seats. The exit poll indicated more than 150 seats for AAP and the prediction said that BJP would not be able to cross 100. The results were different and have led to people criticising Axis My India on Twitter.
First, take a look at the exit polls for all three elections:
@AxisMyIndia @IndiaToday Exact #ExitPoll Dec’22@PradeepGuptaAMI @aajtak @anjanaomkashyap @rahulkanwal @sudhirchaudhary @sardesairajdeep pic.twitter.com/P4ODFqJhZT
— Axis My India (@AxisMyIndia) December 5, 2022
According to @AxisMyIndia– the only reliable pollster frankly- BJP is heading for a landslide victory in Gujarat, AAP is sweeping MCD and Cong is winning Himachal. Everyone should be happy on the 8th then.
— Rohini Singh (@rohini_sgh) December 5, 2022
Now, the exit poll predictions for the Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh Assembly Elections are also being doubted.
Axis My India today reduces AAP’s vote share in Gujarat from 21% to 15% ??.
Predict AAP & Congress seats in Gujarat below this tweet.
— Times Algebra (@TimesAlgebraIND) December 6, 2022
Today Axis My India is likely to revise it’s seat projection for Gujarat too.
Yesterday they reduced AAP voteshare by 5% & increased INC by 3%.
— Amock (@Politics_2022_) December 7, 2022
Even more interesting data point. When cooking khayali pulav why not cook it in most satisfying way! Isn’t? pic.twitter.com/SqBudgF0Cw
— Ruchi (@Ruchi4Tweets) December 6, 2022
This is the 3rd time @AxisMyIndia exit polls have gone wrong after Bihar & Bengal
I am sure @PradeepGuptaAMI will agree, this isn’t a landslide for AAP as predicted by you
In fact, BJP missed winning it by a narrow margin & the reason is congress’s vote share shrinking pic.twitter.com/9l8QpzOY8S
— Flt Lt Anoop Verma (Retd.) ?? (@FltLtAnoopVerma) December 7, 2022
CSDS is useless, Axis my india is better but that too not looking as good as we expected ? 19% 9-20 seats. We should at least get 40 ?
— Amit Shukla (@amitshukla53) December 7, 2022
Congress supporters are happy to see the exit polls going wrong as this might mean that there is a chance for them in Gujarat.
MCD results have proved the fallibility of all pollsters, including AXIS – My India.
Game is wide open in Gujarat. Khela Hobe!
— rkhuria2 (@rkhuria2) December 7, 2022
People are also questioning Pradeep Gupta, the founder of Axis My India, for accountability for these exit polls.
One should question Axis My India Pradeep Gupta & CSDS Sanjay Kumar, as before elex PG was saying AAP will get 10-12% Votes & SK said I dont see AAP crossing 15%.
Now after polls are done, both are saying AAP may go above & they underestimated AAP.
So why told lies earlier ???♂️
— Gss ?? (@Gss_Views) December 6, 2022
In the 2017 MCD elections, the exit polls showed a similar trend but in favour of the BJP. While the exit polls were correct in predicting the winners each time, the numbers are the dimension where to went wrong. The results showed 181 wards for BJP and 48 for AAP. Axis My India gave 202 to 2020 wards for BJP while just 23-35 for AAP. Only Congress with 30 wards was within their predicted range.