Assembly elections 2022: BJP likely to win 4 out of 5 states, AAP seen making big gains in Punjab, says Survey

New Delhi: With five states going to polls next year, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) continues to remain the favourite choice of voters, at least till now.

Though it’s a bit early to gauge the public mood regarding elections, ABP-C Voter has conducted a survey in which it has found that BJP will win 4 out of 5 states heading to polls next year.

Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh is the first state to go to polls early next year. According to Survey projections, BJP is expected to increase its vote share by 0.4% ending up at 41.8% while the SP’s vote share is likely to reach 30.2%, with an increase of 6.6% rise. Mayawati’s BSP is projected to get 3rd spot but its vote share is likely to fall by -6.5% as compared to last elections. Congress will continue to remain on the fringes with lacklustre and insipid performance, says survey.

AAP seen gaining foothold in Punjab

In Punjab, the Aam Admi Party (AAP) is projected to emerge as the party with biggest vote share of 35.1% whereas INC stands second with 28.8% vote share (38 to 46 seats). Shiromani Akali Dal is seen falling to 3rd spot with 21.8% vote share, translating into 16 to 24 seats.

Uttarakhand: BJP set for 2nd term

In Uttarakhand, BJP is leading with 43.1% vote share and may fetch 44 to 48 seats while Congress is likely to come second with 32.6% vote share (19 to 23 Seats). AAP is likely to grab 3rd spot with 14.6% vote share.

Manipur

In Manipur, BJP and allies are leading with 40.5% vote share (32 to 36 seats), whereas Congress stands second with 34.5% vote share (18 to 22 Seats).

Goa

BJP is seen leading with 39.4% vote share translating into 22 to 26 seats while AAP is likely to follow closely with 22.2% vote share.

The ABP-C Voter conducted the survey and its projections are based on public mood gauged between August 1, 2021 to 2nd September 2021, among 18+ adults.

In the survey, the team reached out to about 81000+ people spread across 5 states (UP, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa) and was conducted through CATI (Telephonic survey). The survey projectios are likley to have margin error of ±3 to ±5%, says the survey.