New Delhi: New Delhi: In Rajasthan, Ashok Gehlot government may be on its way out as most polling agencies have forecasted about its likely ouster.
Barring a few pollsters, most see BJP taking a clear lead against the Congress and emerging as the single largest party. BJP is seen crossing the half-way work of 100 seats in most exit polls.
India Today-Axis My India has predicted a close fight between BJP & Congress. It projects 42% vote share for Congress while 41% vote share for BJP. Other parties are likely to get 17% vote share as per it.
“लोग चुनावी जुमलों और हमारी गारंटी, हमारे वचन में अंतर समझते हैं,” @SupriyaShrinate ने सरकार पर साधा निशाना
आजतक पर देखिए सबसे सटीक एग्जिट पोल#AajTakExactPoll #IndiaTodayExactPoll #ExitPolls | @anjanaomkashyap pic.twitter.com/X6pXKgaE7Y
— AajTak (@aajtak) November 30, 2023
According to CNX, Congress is expected to win 94 to 104 seats to retain its government while BJP is expected to win 80-90 seats, giving them a close second finish.
राजस्थान चुनाव का सबसे सटीक एग्जिट पोल..क्या टूटने वाला है रिवाज़ या जाएगी सरकार?#IndiaTVExitPoll #ExitPollWithIndiaTV #RajasthanElection2023 #BJP #Congress #PMModi #AshokGehlot https://t.co/u6duUYS7ZN
— India TV Hindi (@IndiaTVHindi) November 30, 2023
However, according to C Voters, the trend is going to continue, with BJP set to make a comeback with 94 to 114 seats, while Ashok Gehlot-led Congress is poised to a second position finish with 71 to 91 seats.
#BREAKING | राजस्थान में लौट सकती है बीजेपी सरकार, abp-CVoter के एग्जिट पोल में बीजेपी को बढ़त, कांग्रेस को लग सकता है झटका #ExitPollsOnABP #Rajasthan #RajasthanElections #BJP #Congress #RajasthanExitPoll #AshokGehlot pic.twitter.com/ljxvglBtOQ
— ABP News (@ABPNews) November 30, 2023
Rajasthan Assembly Elections 2023 are more about a battle between the Gehlot government’s public welfare schemes & series of sops and Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s appeal and charisma.
The recently concluded elections saw a high voting percentage, prompting pollsters to assume that the state was headed for power change.
Today’s exit polls will give a good insight into what to expect on D-day.
The polling was held in 199 constituencies of the 200-member Assembly. While the BJP raised the pitch against the Gehlot govt, hoping to corner the Congress govt on corruption & anti-incumbency, the latter is betting big on its survival.
The two parties are undoubtedly engaged in a tough contest.
Exit Polls 2023: Seat projections by various agencies
| Agency | Seats | INC+ | BJP | Oth |
| C Voters | 199 | 71 to 91 | 94 to 114 | 9 to 19 |
| CNX | 199 | 94 to 100 | 80 to 90 | 14 to 18 |
| Axis My India | 199 | 86 to 106 | 80 to 100 | 9 to 18 |
What unfolded in 2018
Rajasthan State Legislative Assembly elections were held in December 2018. With 100 seats, the Indian National Congress overtook all other parties as the largest party, missing the majority by one seat. In contrast to the last election, where it secured an absolute majority of 163 seats, the Bharatiya Janata Party only managed to secure 73 seats. Together with the Bahujan Samaj Party, the Indian National Congress formed the government.
